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Japan’s LDP concerned about headwinds in lower house by-elections

The LDP has already chosen a candidate in the Shimane constituency where the election will be held to fill the seat vacated by the death of former Lower House Speaker Hiroyuki Hosoda. (AFP)
The LDP has already chosen a candidate in the Shimane constituency where the election will be held to fill the seat vacated by the death of former Lower House Speaker Hiroyuki Hosoda. (AFP)
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12 Feb 2024 02:02:02 GMT9
12 Feb 2024 02:02:02 GMT9

TOKYO: Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party is concerned that it will face headwinds in three parliamentary by-elections in April as the party is under fire over a political funds scandal involving its intraparty factions.

Some LDP members are proposing that the party forgo fielding a candidate in at least one of the April 28 by-elections in the Nagasaki No. 3, Tokyo No. 15 and Shimane No. 1 constituencies for the House of Representatives, the lower chamber of parliament.

The Nagasaki race is designed to fill the vacancy left by the departure of Yaichi Tanigawa, a former LDP member who quit the Lower House over the funds scandal. On Wednesday, LDP Secretary-General Toshimitsu Motegi and election strategy chief Yuko Obuchi met with the head of the party’s Nagasaki prefectural chapter, but they did not reach a conclusion on whether to field a candidate in the constituency.

Any LDP candidate in the constituency is expected to face harsh criticism over the funds scandal. In addition, if an LDP candidate wins, there will be a need to coordinate with incumbents in the prefecture in the next Lower House election as the number of Nagasaki constituencies is reduced by one.

“We don’t need to field a candidate” in the Nagasaki by-election, an LDP official said.

The Tokyo election comes after former LDP member Mito Kakizawa resigned as a Lower House lawmaker over a vote-buying scandal involving a ward mayoral election. Voters in the No. 15 constituency are expected to be especially sensitive to money scandals after a local LDP incumbent was found guilty of bribery charges in 2021.

“It’s impossible to lose both (Nagasaki and Tokyo) by default,” Motegi said. But the LDP is struggling to nominate a candidate in the Tokyo constituency.

The LDP has already chosen a candidate in the Shimane constituency where the election will be held to fill the seat vacated by the death of former Lower House Speaker Hiroyuki Hosoda. Shimane is known as a stronghold of conservatives, but the party is not fully optimistic after an LDP-backed incumbent lost a mayoral election in Gunma Prefecture, near Tokyo, earlier this month.

The outcome of the three by-elections could affect the fortune of Prime Minister KISHIDA Fumio, who faces a re-election bid in the LDP’s presidential race this autumn.

In 2021, Kishida’s predecessor, Yoshihide Suga, was forced to abandon his re-election bid for the LDP presidency as his clout was weakened after the LDP lost all three parliamentary polls in the spring.

“There is a strong sense of crisis especially among middle-ranking and young members,” a middle-ranking LDP official said. If the party loses all three by-elections in April, “a move to oust Kishida may emerge,” the official said.

JIJI Press

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